Kaine Ugwu

Building Foresight-Driven Enterprises.

A foresight-driven enterprise is an organisation that builds “looking ahead” into how it runs and changes the business. It keeps scanning for new trends and exploring scenarios. Then it uses what it learns to shape its strategy, operating model and technology. That way it can adapt early, reduce risk and find new opportunities before its competitors do.

Diagram illustrating the Foresight Process Framework with sections on Inputs (Strategic Intelligence and Foresight Work), Outputs (Expanded Perceptions of Strategic Options), and Strategy (Strategic Planning and Development), adapted from Joseph Voros.

Selected Research I’m Tracking.

Papers

  • Rohrbeck, R., Battistella , C., & Huizingh, E. (2015). Corporate foresight: An emerging field with a rich tradition. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 101(12), 1-9. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2015.11.002
  • Rohrbeck, R., & Kum, M. E. (2018). Corporate foresight and its impact on firm performance: A longitudinal analysis. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 129, 105–116. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2017.12.013
  • van de Wetering, R. (2021). Dynamic enterprise architecture capabilities and organizational benefits: An empirical mediation study. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2105.10036
  • van de Wetering, R. (2022). The role of enterprise architecture-driven dynamic capabilities and operational digital ambidexterity in driving business value under the COVID-19 shock. Heliyon, 8(11), Article e11484. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2022.e11484
  • Conway, M. (2015). Foresight: an introduction. Thinking Futures.

Books

  • Hevner, A. R., & Chatterjee, S. (Eds.). (2010). Design research in information systems: Theory and practice. Springer.
  • Hines, A., & Bishop, P. (2015). Thinking about the future: Guidelines for strategic foresight (2nd ed.). Hinesight.
  • Rohrbeck, R. (2010). Corporate foresight: Towards a maturity model for the future orientation of a firm. Physica-Verlag.
  • Ross, J. W., Weill, P., & Robertson, D. C. (2006). Enterprise architecture as strategy: Creating a foundation for business execution. Harvard Business School Press.
  • Ross, J. W., Beath, C. M., & Mocker, M. (2019). Designed for digital: How to architect your business for sustained success. MIT Press.
  • Senge, P. M. (2006). The fifth discipline: The art and practice of the learning organization (Rev. and updated ed.). Doubleday.
  • Teece, D. J. (2009). Dynamic capabilities and strategic management: Organizing for innovation and growth. Oxford University Press

My Previous Publications.

Speaking

Writing